THE TRUTH ABOUT TODAY’S HOUSING MARKET
#1: WE’RE IN A HOUSING BUBBLE
While today’s housing market is anything but normal, it’s not because of the same circumstances surrounding the housing bubble of the early 2000s that caused the crash.
Back then, new construction single-family homes flooded the market, lending standards were incredibly loose, and many homeowners were cashing out their equity left and right.
Today’s market is nearly the exact opposite.
Since the housing crash of 2008:
- Lending standards have tightened
- The market is under-supplied rather than over-supplied on inventory
- Most homeowners are much more cautious with their equity
Plus, housing market experts are forecasting continued price appreciation this year, as demand continues to outweigh home supply
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#2: LOTS OF FORECLOSURES ARE COMING
Stories about the volume of foreclosures are all over the news today. But the most important thing to remember is context is everything. Yes, many homeowners were able to pause their mortgage payments during the forbearance program, and there was legitimate concern from many experts that it would result in a wave of foreclosures coming to the market.
However, the number of foreclosures we’re seeing today is nothing like the last time.
Here are some of the reasons why that’s happening:
- Most homeowners have enough equity to sell their homes
- There have been fewer foreclosures over the last two years
- The current market can easily absorb the new listings
Today’s data shows that most homeowners are exiting their forbearance plan either fully caught up on payments or with a plan from the bank that restructured their loan in a way that allowed them to start making payments again. For all of these reasons, experts don’t anticipate a wave of foreclosures that would negatively affect housing prices.
#3: HOUSING PRICES WILL DEPRECIATE
This might be one you’ve heard a time or twenty. Skyrocketing price appreciation has many sellers and buyers sitting on the fence. However, experts don’t project home prices to go down anytime soon. Instead, data from earlier in the year has already been adjusted to be higher than previously anticipated.
First American explains it like this: “While house price growth is expected to moderate from the rapid pace of 2021, strong home buyer demand against a backdrop of historically tight inventory of homes for sale will likely keep appreciation positive in the coming year.”
For both buyers and sellers, this means one thing: playing the waiting game is a risky business. When it comes to selling, the higher price appreciation over the last two years has been great for your home’s value. But if you’ll also be buying a home after selling, you shouldn’t wait for prices to fall. In both cases, waiting will only cost more in the long run because climbing mortgage rates and rising home prices will have an impact on their next home purchase.
If you are thinking about buying or selling, I can help you navigate around any confusion. Working together, I will inform you on what’s really happening in today’s real estate market. With the knowledge you’ll gain, you will have a renewed confidence in making your real estate buying and selling decisions.
(A portion of this content provided by Keeping Current Matters)
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4 Bed | 3.5 Bath | $2,195,000 | Julie Whitmer
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Main House plus Casita located in the highly sought-after Gale Ranch Community of San Ramon. As you enter you are welcomed with high ceilings, and gorgeous new white oak Hardwood floors. The beautifully updated white kitchen features stainless steel appliances, porcelain countertops, new hardware, lighting and a wine fridge. The kitchen opens to the family room that has been recently updated with a new built-in entertainment center and surround sound system. The second floor features three bedrooms, two bedrooms share a full bathroom and a nice laundry room. The Master Suite has been newly painted and includes a large walk-in closet, a lovely master bathroom with granite countertops, dual vanities, stall shower and a large soaking tub.
Relax in the backyard, it’s larger than most in the neighborhood & filled with special features: spa, built-in barbecue and fountain. Above the detached garage, there is a casita with one bedroom, walk-in closet, full bathroom, kitchenette, and living room. A perfect apartment for family or your at-home office space. Detached 3 car garage for the car enthusiast. Close to great parks, shopping and award- winning schools!
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4 Bed | 3 Bath | $2,095,000 | Julie Whitmer
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Wonderfully updated 4 bed, 3 bath large corner lot located in the highly desired Shadow Creek neighborhood. This charming home offers new flooring, vaulted ceilings, new interior paint, new carpet in living room, an amazing remodeled kitchen with quartz counters, brand new stainless appliances, and new light fixtures, a downstairs full bed and bath, large living room with fireplace and separate dining room. The massive primary bedroom includes a cozy fireplace, a sitting area and double vanity. The backyard is an entertainer’s park-like yard with a beautiful fountain, fruit trees, covered patio and many seating areas and refreshed landscaping. The HOA includes a community pool, clubhouse, & park close by. Located In the highly sought-after award-winning San Ramon Valley Unified School District and close to many restaurants, high-end shopping, & gorgeous parks, close to two world-renowned Golf Courses. A Must See!
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26 Paintbrush Lane, Orinda, CA 94563
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5 Bed | 5.5 Bath | $3,495,000 | Compass Listing
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26 Paintbrush Lane is an impressive custom home with 5 beds, 5.5 baths on a sought-after street in prestigious Orinda Wilder. Built in 2017, this home sits on a 0.52 acre lot with a flat, spacious landscaped yard complete with outdoor kitchen, pergola, and firepit. Enjoy a private elevator, two kitchens, luxury appliances, designer upgrades throughout the home, two Tesla batteries, Solar Panels, and a 4-car garage. Wilder amenities include the 7,000 sq ft LEED-certified Quarry House with a state-of-the-art gym, heated outdoor infinity pool, and hot tub. Adjacent to 5 playing fields, an Arts & Garden Center, Montessori School, and 1,300 acres of open space with over 7,000 native oak trees and numerous hiking trails. Mapped to top-rated Orinda schools, with unmatched proximity to downtown SF, fine dining, supermarkets, BART, and freeways.
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6330 Allison Road, Miami Beach, FL 33140
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6 Bed | 6+ Bath | $16,300,000 | Compass Listing
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One of Miami's most sought-after waterfront islands! Sunsets and sweeping wide water views from this west facing modern Mediterranean home on private gated Allison Island. Newly renovated, move-in ready, 5,600SF with 6 bedrooms, 6.5 baths on a 16,200SF lot with 75 ft of yacht friendly deep water and direct bay/ocean access. Great floorplan with five bedrooms on second floor all with en-suite baths, walk-in closets and terraces. Three sitting rooms, mud room, gym, 2-car garage, fully equipped kitchen with double islands, wine fridge, Miele appliances, laundry and separate pantry with housekeeping quarters. Crestron system with built in speakers, updated dock and jet ski lift. Generous enclosed front yard & expansive backyard with an oversized mosaic tiled saltwater heated pool with spa, covered summer kitchen and mature landscaping to ensure ultimate privacy.
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© Compass 2022 ¦ All Rights Reserved by Compass ¦ Made in NYC
Compass is a real estate broker licensed by the State of California operating under multiple entities. License Numbers 01991628, 1527235, 1527365, 1356742, 1443761, 1997075, 1935359, 1961027, 1842987, 1869607, 1866771, 1527205, 1079009, 1272467. All material presented herein is intended for informational purposes only and is compiled from sources deemed reliable but has not been verified. Changes in price, condition, sale or withdrawal may be made without notice. No statement is made as to accuracy of any description. All measurements and square footage are approximate. Equal Housing Opportunity. Photos may be virtually staged or digitally enhanced and may not reflect actual property conditions.
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